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AHT: 02CSV

12 Jan 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.2%
Frosinone
25.3%
Draw
25.5%
Cremonese

Expected Goals (xG)

1.79

Frosinone

vs
1.24

Cremonese

Markets

BTTS60.4%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.536.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.7%
1-0
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
4.9%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).