Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.3%
Wolves
26.4%
Draw
54.3%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Wolves
vs
1.77
Brentford
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
9.8%
0-0
7.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
2-2
4.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-0
3.1%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).