Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.8%
Darlaston Town
23.6%
Draw
28.5%
Harborough Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Darlaston Town
vs
1.21
Harborough Town
Markets
BTTS56.2%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
7.8%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.7%
0-0
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).