Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.2%
Fulham
27.2%
Draw
46.6%
Chelsea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Fulham
vs
1.68
Chelsea
Markets
BTTS58.9%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.8%
0-1
7.7%
0-0
7.1%
2-1
6.9%
2-2
5.8%
1-3
5.3%
1-0
5.2%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).