Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.1%
Benevento
28.4%
Draw
45.6%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Benevento
vs
1.49
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
8.9%
0-2
8.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).