Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.3%
Karpaty
26.6%
Draw
18.1%
Chornomorets
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Karpaty
vs
0.75
Chornomorets
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
11.9%
0-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.4%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).