Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.8%
Sheffield Weds
17.3%
Draw
74.9%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Sheffield Weds
vs
2.35
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.535.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.8%
0-1
11.2%
0-3
10.8%
1-2
8.9%
1-1
8.2%
1-3
7.0%
0-4
6.4%
0-0
5.7%
1-4
4.1%
0-5
3.0%
2-2
2.9%
1-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).