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AHT: 02CSV

17 Feb 2024 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.1%
Lecco
30.5%
Draw
36.4%
Cosenza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Lecco

vs
1.21

Cosenza

Markets

BTTS49.3%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.7%
0-1
10.2%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
0-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).