Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.0%
Venezia
27.6%
Draw
23.4%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Venezia
vs
1.02
Monza
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.3%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
5.0%
3-0
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).