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HHT: 11CSV

29 Dec 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.8%
Walsall
23.4%
Draw
53.8%
Wrexham

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Walsall

vs
1.66

Wrexham

Markets

BTTS50.1%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.3%
1-1
11.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
1-0
7.5%
0-0
6.6%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).