Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.7%
Colchester
25.0%
Draw
16.3%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Colchester
vs
0.64
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS36.3%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.1%
2-0
13.3%
0-0
11.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.0%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
2.5%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).