⚽ FootballData
2 – 2
DHT: 10CSV

26 Dec 2022 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
56.9%
Brentford
23.3%
Draw
19.8%
Tottenham

Expected Goals (xG)

2.10

Brentford

vs
1.20

Tottenham

Markets

BTTS62.6%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.564.1%
Over 3.542.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
0-0
5.0%
3-2
4.1%
4-1
3.6%
0-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).