Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.9%
Ingolstadt
24.3%
Draw
53.8%
Magdeburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Ingolstadt
vs
1.91
Magdeburg
Markets
BTTS59.4%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.536.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.5%
0-1
7.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-1
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
0-0
5.7%
0-3
5.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-3
3.6%
2-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).