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18 Feb 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.2%
Ebbsfleet
20.9%
Draw
66.0%
Forest Green

Expected Goals (xG)

0.86

Ebbsfleet

vs
2.14

Forest Green

Markets

BTTS51.8%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.535.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.4%
1-1
9.9%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
8.1%
1-3
7.0%
0-0
5.7%
0-4
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
2-1
4.0%
1-4
3.7%
1-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).