Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.7%
Cartagena
26.0%
Draw
39.2%
Eldense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Cartagena
vs
1.35
Eldense
Markets
BTTS52.9%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
0-1
10.1%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
0-0
7.2%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).