Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.4%
Altrincham
18.6%
Draw
19.9%
Harborough Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.33
Altrincham
vs
1.27
Harborough Town
Markets
BTTS64.6%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.569.7%
Over 3.548.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
6.0%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-1
4.3%
0-1
3.7%
4-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).