Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.4%
Brighton
27.2%
Draw
16.4%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Brighton
vs
0.81
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-0
11.7%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
3.9%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).