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03 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.1%
Castellon
18.9%
Draw
20.9%
Cordoba

Expected Goals (xG)

2.37

Castellon

vs
1.35

Cordoba

Markets

BTTS67.2%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.588.5%
Over 2.571.9%
Over 3.551.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.2%
1-1
7.7%
3-1
7.3%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
1-0
5.8%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-1
4.3%
0-1
3.3%
4-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).