Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.2%
Deportivo Alavés
17.7%
Draw
71.1%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Deportivo Alavés
vs
2.32
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.538.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.8%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
9.1%
1-1
8.4%
1-3
7.4%
0-4
5.3%
0-0
4.5%
1-4
4.3%
2-2
3.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).