Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.2%
Dortmund
16.0%
Draw
8.8%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
2.60
Dortmund
vs
0.81
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.544.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.2%
3-0
9.7%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.1%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
7.5%
4-0
6.3%
4-1
5.1%
0-0
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
5-0
3.3%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).