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14 Feb 2020 · 19:05

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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5.2%
Alloa
13.3%
Draw
81.4%
Dundee United

Expected Goals (xG)

0.70

Alloa

vs
2.93

Dundee United

Markets

BTTS48.7%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.588.6%
Over 2.570.3%
Over 3.549.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.3%
0-3
11.1%
0-4
8.1%
1-2
8.0%
1-3
7.8%
0-1
6.9%
1-1
6.3%
1-4
5.7%
0-5
4.8%
0-0
3.5%
1-5
3.3%
2-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).