Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.6%
Cagliari
29.0%
Draw
26.4%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Cagliari
vs
0.86
Lecce
Markets
BTTS40.5%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.561.4%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
12.2%
0-1
11.0%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).