Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.2%
Hamilton
31.2%
Draw
40.5%
Morton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Hamilton
vs
1.34
Morton
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.9%
0-0
10.8%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).