Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.9%
Burgos
30.0%
Draw
23.1%
Andorra
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Burgos
vs
0.74
Andorra
Markets
BTTS36.5%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.557.6%
Over 2.530.7%
Over 3.513.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.3%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
10.8%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
4.8%
3-0
4.1%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.1%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).