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DHT: 11CSV

22 Jan 2022 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.5%
Como
22.3%
Draw
14.2%
Crotone

Expected Goals (xG)

2.03

Como

vs
0.87

Crotone

Markets

BTTS51.4%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.4%
1-1
10.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
4-0
3.9%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).