Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.2%
Atalanta
14.1%
Draw
7.7%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
2.55
Atalanta
vs
0.67
Benevento
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.540.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.0%
3-0
11.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
7.1%
1-1
6.7%
4-1
4.7%
0-0
3.9%
5-0
3.6%
2-2
2.9%
0-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).