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08 Feb 2026 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.7%
FC Koln
24.4%
Draw
32.9%
FC Koln

Expected Goals (xG)

1.78

FC Koln

vs
1.55

FC Koln

Markets

BTTS66.3%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.564.6%
Over 3.542.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
5.7%
1-0
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
0-1
4.7%
0-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
4.0%
1-3
3.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).