Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.4%
Hamburg
32.2%
Draw
27.4%
Augsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Hamburg
vs
0.89
Augsburg
Markets
BTTS41.3%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
14.0%
1-0
13.9%
0-1
10.6%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).