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24 Nov 2024 · 10:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.8%
Sivasspor
33.1%
Draw
30.1%
Kasımpaşa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.34

Sivasspor

vs
1.20

Kasımpaşa

Markets

BTTS54.7%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.9%
0-0
11.1%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
0-1
6.3%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).