Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.4%
Fredrikstad
25.6%
Draw
29.0%
Sarpsborg 08
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Fredrikstad
vs
1.13
Sarpsborg 08
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
11.0%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.4%
2-0
8.1%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).