Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.1%
Arbroath
29.1%
Draw
35.8%
Ayr
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Arbroath
vs
1.41
Ayr
Markets
BTTS58.6%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
0-0
8.0%
0-1
6.7%
1-0
6.6%
0-2
6.0%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).