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22 Sept 2021 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.5%
Montpellier
22.5%
Draw
50.0%
Bordeaux

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Montpellier

vs
1.72

Bordeaux

Markets

BTTS57.0%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.533.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.5%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
1-3
5.5%
0-0
4.7%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).