Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.2%
Barnsley
16.8%
Draw
23.0%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.67
Barnsley
vs
1.64
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS74.5%
Over 0.599.1%
Over 1.592.4%
Over 2.580.4%
Over 3.562.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
7.9%
3-1
7.0%
2-2
6.4%
3-2
5.7%
1-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-0
4.8%
4-1
4.7%
3-0
4.3%
1-0
4.1%
4-2
3.8%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).