Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.3%
Mjällby
16.9%
Draw
5.8%
Elfsborg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.30
Mjällby
vs
0.51
Elfsborg
Markets
BTTS36.5%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.0%
1-0
13.1%
3-0
12.3%
2-1
8.1%
1-1
7.8%
4-0
7.1%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-0
3.3%
0-1
2.3%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).