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DHT: 01CSV

23 Dec 2023 · 13:00

Lecco

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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90.9%
Venezia
7.0%
Draw
2.0%
Lecco

Expected Goals (xG)

3.58

Venezia

vs
0.51

Lecco

Markets

BTTS39.0%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.591.8%
Over 2.577.5%
Over 3.558.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
12.8%
4-0
11.5%
2-0
10.7%
5-0
8.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-1
5.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.5%
5-1
4.2%
1-1
3.3%
0-0
2.0%
3-2
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).