Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.4%
Cambridge
23.3%
Draw
27.3%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Cambridge
vs
1.07
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.527.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
8.8%
2-0
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).