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AHT: 00CSV

18 Nov 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.1%
Kidderminster
33.1%
Draw
36.8%
Dag and Red

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Kidderminster

vs
1.06

Dag and Red

Markets

BTTS40.7%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.560.3%
Over 2.532.1%
Over 3.514.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
14.8%
1-1
14.6%
0-1
13.4%
1-0
11.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
3.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).