Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.7%
Alverca
18.1%
Draw
74.2%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.44
Alverca
vs
1.96
Porto
Markets
BTTS30.2%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.2%
0-2
17.4%
0-3
11.4%
0-0
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
1-1
7.5%
0-4
5.6%
1-3
5.0%
1-0
4.3%
1-4
2.4%
0-5
2.2%
2-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).