Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.9%
Casa Pia
23.5%
Draw
13.6%
AVS
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Casa Pia
vs
0.72
AVS
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
2-0
13.1%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.6%
3-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
4-0
3.6%
2-2
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).