Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.7%
Nottingham Forest
33.9%
Draw
33.4%
Crystal Palace
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Nottingham Forest
vs
1.05
Crystal Palace
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.4%
0-0
14.4%
0-1
11.2%
1-0
11.0%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
7.0%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
2.4%
0-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).