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29 Jan 2024 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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67.6%
Trabzonspor
20.7%
Draw
11.8%
Kasimpasa

Expected Goals (xG)

2.52

Trabzonspor

vs
1.04

Kasimpasa

Markets

BTTS61.3%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.568.9%
Over 3.547.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
3-0
7.6%
1-0
5.3%
4-1
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
4-0
4.8%
0-0
4.7%
3-2
4.1%
1-2
3.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).