Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.8%
Ein Frankfurt
24.6%
Draw
24.6%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Ein Frankfurt
vs
1.21
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS59.7%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.0%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
0-0
5.6%
0-1
5.0%
3-0
4.8%
3-2
3.6%
0-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).