Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.8%
Kayserispor
35.9%
Draw
30.4%
Denizlispor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Kayserispor
vs
1.06
Denizlispor
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.8%
0-0
14.5%
1-0
9.2%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
2.9%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).