Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.1%
Ascoli
28.6%
Draw
21.3%
FeralpiSalo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Ascoli
vs
0.89
FeralpiSalo
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
12.5%
0-0
10.4%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).