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17 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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4.8%
Colney Heath
6.9%
Draw
88.3%
Laverstock & Ford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.13

Colney Heath

vs
4.32

Laverstock & Ford

Markets

BTTS66.8%
Over 0.599.6%
Over 1.597.1%
Over 2.590.8%
Over 3.579.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-4
7.1%
1-3
6.6%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
6.1%
0-3
5.8%
0-5
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
0-2
4.0%
2-4
4.0%
2-3
3.7%
2-5
3.5%
2-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).