Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.1%
Carlton Town
39.7%
Draw
31.2%
Stamford
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62
Carlton Town
vs
0.66
Stamford
Markets
BTTS22.0%
Over 0.572.6%
Over 1.536.3%
Over 2.513.8%
Over 3.54.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
27.4%
0-1
18.6%
1-0
17.7%
1-1
11.0%
0-2
6.0%
2-0
5.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-1
3.5%
0-3
1.3%
2-2
1.2%
3-0
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).