Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.0%
Casa Pia
19.3%
Draw
64.7%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Casa Pia
vs
2.09
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.535.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.8%
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.1%
0-3
7.5%
1-3
6.9%
1-0
5.0%
0-0
4.5%
2-2
4.5%
2-1
4.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-4
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).