Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Peterboro
20.9%
Draw
30.0%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Peterboro
vs
1.40
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS62.8%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.541.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.3%
1-1
9.2%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
7.0%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
4.0%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).