Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.5%
Getafe
33.4%
Draw
34.1%
Celta
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Getafe
vs
0.92
Celta
Markets
BTTS35.7%
Over 0.583.3%
Over 1.554.3%
Over 2.527.2%
Over 3.511.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.7%
0-1
14.8%
1-0
14.3%
1-1
13.7%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-1
6.0%
2-2
2.7%
0-3
2.1%
3-0
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).