Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.0%
Sampdoria
23.2%
Draw
39.8%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Sampdoria
vs
1.61
Crotone
Markets
BTTS62.9%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.538.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.0%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
5.5%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
0-0
4.1%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).